Posts Tagged ‘market’
Tuesday, May 15th, 2012
San Jose’s Cambrian, or Cambrian Park, area is a very hot seller’s market. Multiple offers are not uncommon, especially in the Union School District, where schools are trending upward. My Cambrian Park Real Estate Report has just been published with the updated numbers from the closed sales in April. Please click on the link to see much more information there.
| Trends At a Glance |
Apr 2012 |
Previous Month |
Year-over Year |
| Median Price |
$586,000 |
$597,500 (-1.9%) |
$547,500 (+7.0%) |
| Average Price |
$634,625 |
$603,147 (+5.2%) |
$578,784 (+9.6%) |
| No. of Sales |
56 |
58 (-3.4%) |
58 (-3.4%) |
| Pending Properties |
99 |
91 (+8.8%) |
82 (+20.7%) |
| Foreclosures Sold |
4 |
10 (-60.0%) |
0 (N/A) |
| Short Sales Sold |
3 |
6 (-50.0%) |
0 (N/A) |
| Active Listings |
35 |
57 (-38.6%) |
84 (-58.3%) |
| Sales Price vs. List Price |
99.8% |
99.9% (-0.1%) |
98.3% (+1.4%) |
| Days on Market |
31 |
50 (-37.4%) |
64 (-51.1%) |
Prices are up nicely year over year! Inventory is crazy low – just 35 homes for sale in April compared to 57 in March and 84 in April 2011. Days on market is far lower too. All around, it is a deepening seller’s market.
Even stronger is the Cambrian condo market, which is skyrocketing!!! Please see the Cambrian Condominium & Townhouse Real Estate Report for all of the numbers, but I’ll include a quick summary below.
| Trends At a Glance |
Apr 2012 |
Previous Month |
Year-over Year |
| Median Price |
$320,250 |
$237,000 (+35.1%) |
$250,000 (+28.1%) |
| Average Price |
$362,812 |
$302,300 (+20.0%) |
$319,027 (+13.7%) |
| No. of Sales |
8 |
15 (-46.7%) |
15 (-46.7%) |
| Pending Properties |
36 |
37 (-2.7%) |
32 (+12.5%) |
| Foreclosures Sold |
1 |
6 (-83.3%) |
5 (-80.0%) |
| Short Sales Sold |
2 |
5 (-60.0%) |
5 (-60.0%) |
| Active Listings |
6 |
5 (+20.0%) |
35 (-82.9%) |
| Sales Price vs. List Price |
104.0% |
100.7% (+3.3%) |
98.9% (+5.2%) |
| Days on Market |
20 |
69 (-70.3%) |
40 (-49.1%) |
Here again, notice the ratio of active to pending homes, the sale vs list price (over 100%), and most of all, the tremendous rise in both the average and median sales price. Few homes closed escrow in February, so it is possible that these numbers are a little exaggerated. We will know more in a month – if it’s a trend or if this is a fluke.
Now let’s work with Altos Research’s graphs and get a feel for the Cambrian realty market in “real time”. These use list prices, whereas my REReport uses sold data.
First, the statistics by quartile for houses in San Jose 95118:

Next, the stats and trends by price quartile for houses in San Jose 95124: (more…)
Tags: Absorption Rate, buy a home, Cambrian, Cambrian Park (SJ), Cambrian Park Real Estate, Cambrian real estate, condos, days of inventory, days on the market, homes, homes for sale, houses, market, market conditions, Market Reports, Real estate, sales, san jose, Santa Clara County, sell a home, silicon valley, solds, Townhouses, trends
Posted in Cambrian Park (SJ), Market Reports, Multiple Offers | 1 Comment »
Thursday, May 10th, 2012
How is the Monte Sereno real estate market? Because the city is small, with just about 4000 residents, there usually are few homes listed for sale or selling, and with small numbers we can get seeming volatility. Here are the quick statistics for the closed sales in the last 4-7 weeks to give a sense of how things are going. Sales data for April comes from my Monte Sereno Real Estate Report and data for the last 30 days comes from me via the MLS (I crunched them this morning).
Median sales price of houses sold in Monte Sereno in April was $1,415,000. For the last 30 days, it was $2,169,857.
Average Days on Market of houses sold in April was 97. But for the last 30 days, it’s 78.
The sales price to list price ratio in April was 95%. The last 30 days it’s up to 97%.
The market is better all around for home sales in Monte Sereno than it was just a couple of months ago. Next, let’s look at the live charts from Altos to see how active listings reflect the market as seen from viewing the solds.
Live Altos Charts for the Monte Sereno Real Estate Market
The median list price of all homes listed on the MLS in Monte Sereno and in San Jose – an interesting comparison! San Jose has far fewer dips and jumps than Monte Sereno….Good improvement showing recently, though.

(more…)
Tags: homes for sale, house, houses, Los Gatos, Luxury Homes, market, Market Report, Monte Sereno, Real estate
Posted in How's The Market?, Market Reports, Monte Sereno | No Comments »
Thursday, April 5th, 2012
How’s the Saratoga California real estate market?
Today we’ll look at the monthly sales numbers for Saratoga, CA 95070 and also view live charts reflecting homes listed for sale on the MLS. Both houses and condos/townhomes will be considered as will varying price quartiles via the live charts.
Monthly Real Estate Update for Saratoga – prices of houses rising:
As with much of the “west valley”, the Saratoga, CA real estate market is a seller’s market, but it does not appear quite so overheated as neighboring – and far more affordable – Cupertino right now. Unlike many other areas, though, inventory is a little looser and is up month over month (which is seasonally expected) and year over year (not a seasonal issue, of course).
Here are the real estate sales statistics for closed sales in March 2012 among houses in the 95070 zip code (click on link to read the full Saratoga Real Estate Report for houses):
| Trends At a Glance |
Mar 2012 |
Previous Month |
Year-over Year |
| Median Price |
$1,580,000 |
$1,454,000 (+8.7%) |
$1,387,500 (+13.9%) |
| Average Price |
$1,631,430 |
$1,658,120 (-1.6%) |
$1,500,280 (+8.7%) |
| No. of Sales |
31 |
16 (+93.8%) |
18 (+72.2%) |
| Pending Properties |
60 |
41 (+46.3%) |
40 (+50.0%) |
| Active |
59 |
62 (-4.8%) |
56 (+5.4%) |
| Sale vs. List Price |
98.9% |
97.6% (+1.4%) |
92.4% (+7.0%) |
| Days on Market |
65 |
78 (-16.6%) |
73 (-10.6%) |
And February
| Trends At a Glance |
Feb 2012 |
Previous Month |
Year-over Year |
| Median Price |
$1,454,000 |
$1,280,000 (+13.6%) |
$1,350,000 (+7.7%) |
| Average Price |
$1,658,120 |
$1,793,570 (-7.6%) |
$1,538,290 (+7.8%) |
| No. of Sales |
16 |
16 (0.0%) |
13 (+23.1%) |
| Pending Properties |
41 |
35 (+17.1%) |
30 (+36.7%) |
| Active |
62 |
57 (+8.8%) |
49 (+26.5%) |
| Sale vs. List Price |
97.6% |
97.6% (-0.1%) |
98.4% (-0.8%) |
| Days on Market |
78 |
67 (+17.5%) |
34 (+129.8%) |
The median sales price, which is the number indicating that half of the homes sold for more and half less than this number, has risen almost 8% from a year ago. This implies that more expensive homes are selling – and possibly that home values are rising too. The average is also up about the same amount year over year.
Next, please find the basic statistics for closed sales in February 2012 among townhouses & condominiums in the 95070 zip code (see the Saratoga Real Estate Report for condos & townhomes):

| Trends At a Glance |
Mar 2012 |
Previous Month |
Year-over Year |
| Median Price |
$560,000 |
$485,000 (+15.5%) |
$582,000 (-3.8%) |
| Average Price |
$521,200 |
$474,296 (+9.9%) |
$620,000 (-15.9%) |
| No. of Sales |
5 |
3 (+66.7%) |
3 (+66.7%) |
| Pending Properties |
4 |
6 (-33.3%) |
2 (+100.0%) |
| Active |
6 |
3 (+100.0%) |
12 (-50.0%) |
| Sale vs. List Price |
99.2% |
95.3% (+4.0%) |
96.0% (+3.3%) |
| Days on Market |
86 |
131 (-34.5%) |
19 (+359.6%) |
And February
| Trends At a Glance |
Feb 2012 |
Previous Month |
Year-over Year |
| Median Price |
$485,000 |
$520,800 (-6.9%) |
$940,000 (-48.4%) |
| Average Price |
$474,296 |
$463,267 (+2.4%) |
$940,000 (-49.5%) |
| No. of Sales |
3 |
3 (0.0%) |
2 (+50.0%) |
| Pending Properties |
6 |
3 (+100.0%) |
4 (+50.0%) |
| Active |
3 |
6 (-50.0%) |
10 (-70.0%) |
| Sale vs. List Price |
95.3% |
97.3% (-2.0%) |
86.3% (+10.4%) |
| Days on Market |
131 |
86 (+52.9%) |
104 (+26.5%) |
Tags: CA, condo, condos, days on market, homes for sale, house, houses, inventory, market, quartile, Saratoga, Saratoga real estate, Saratoga real estate market, statistics, townhouse, trends
Posted in Condos & Townhomes, Houses, Luxury Homes, Market Reports, Saratoga, Single Family Homes | No Comments »
Friday, March 23rd, 2012
Buyers who are getting slammed out of the Silicon Valley real estate market due to low inventory and multiple offers are extremely frustrated. In many cases, they write offer after offer, and each time not only are their bids rejected, but they never even get a counter offer.
You should not depend on getting a 2nd chance, of course. Just because you write a contract on a San Jose area home does not mean that the seller needs to give you a counter offer. Some agents and sellers don’t respond at all – not nice, but if you get dozens of offers, sometimes that does happen. Sometimes they just take the best offer and run. Othertimes they only counter the best offer and forget the rest.
The question arises all the time: why isn’t my 20% down offer just as good as the 50% down or the All Cash offer? Isn’t 20% down good enough?
Cash is better because there’s less risk
Twenty percent down is “good enough” if there are no other offers. If it’s multiple offers, though, it’s probably not sufficient for most sellers provided that the all cash offers are written with realistic pricing. Right now, 25% of all sales in Santa Clara County are all cash, and sellers would far rather deal with an offer that includes no finance or appraisal contingencies. For sellers, the fewer contingencies the better and no contingencies is ideal. Particularly now, when we are seeing a very sudden and dramatic upswing in pricing, appraisal contingencies can kill an offer’s chances of success. With all cash, there is no appraisal at all – it’s a slam dunk on that front. (more…)
Tags: contingency, down payment, financing, loan, market, seller's market, Silicon Valley real estate
Posted in FHA, Finance Information, First time homebuyers, Multiple Offers | No Comments »
Thursday, March 1st, 2012
Today we’ll have a look at the most recent closed residential realty sales numbers and then also view “live charts” which are updated weekly for Los Gatos real estate. This segment of Silicon Valley real estate can be viewed from many angles: zip code, school district, sale type, view or no view, acreage, luxury home or basic home type…. This post will serve as a brief overview only. For information on YOUR Los Gatos subdivision or neighborhood, please contact me!
February 2012 sales numbers for Los Gatos real estate are in via my Real Estate Report. Have a look:
(1) Houses and Duet Homes
| Trends At a Glance |
Feb 2012 |
Previous Month |
Year-over Year |
| Median Price |
$1,442,500 |
$1,129,500 (+27.7%) |
$1,265,000 (+14.0%) |
| Average Price |
$2,320,030 |
$1,248,000 (+85.9%) |
$1,217,470 (+90.6%) |
| No. of Sales |
16 |
16 (0.0%) |
15 (+6.7%) |
| Pending Properties |
45 |
30 (+50.0%) |
48 (-6.3%) |
| Active |
74 |
63 (+17.5%) |
57 (+29.8%) |
| Sale vs. List Price |
94.8% |
96.6% (-1.9%) |
98.1% (-3.4%) |
| Days on Market |
70 |
82 (-14.2%) |
92 (-23.0%) |
Prices are going way, way up! And yet the market is cooler – more homes are on the market, the list price to sales price ratio shrank a little. The rest of the west valley areas are seeing multiple offers, overbids and rising prices – and we are hearing of them here, also. That may not be reflected in the stats for another 30 days or so.

(2) Condos and Townhouses
| Trends At a Glance |
Feb 2012 |
Previous Month |
Year-over Year |
| Median Price |
$601,000 |
$338,000 (+77.8%) |
$480,000 (+25.2%) |
| Average Price |
$562,675 |
$358,800 (+56.8%) |
$490,350 (+14.7%) |
| No. of Sales |
8 |
5 (+60.0%) |
5 (+60.0%) |
| Pending Properties |
22 |
14 (+57.1%) |
16 (+37.5%) |
| Active |
16 |
24 (-33.3%) |
31 (-48.4%) |
| Sale vs. List Price |
96.1% |
99.0% (-2.9%) |
99.4% (-3.3%) |
| Days on Market |
63 |
101 (-38.0%) |
54 (+15.6%) |
More skyrocketing prices! The LG condo market has been very challenged – but now there seems to be a great turnaround. Have a look at the chart below! (more…)
Tags: 95030, 95032, 95033, Los Gatos, Los Gatos Mountains, market, Market Report, market trends, Monte Sereno, Real estate
Posted in How's The Market?, Los Gatos, Market Reports | No Comments »
Tuesday, November 15th, 2011
Should you market your home for sale through the holidays? It’s now mid November, and if your property has been listed for sale but not gotten an acceptable purchase offer, you may be thinking of taking your house or condo off the market until sometime in the new year. Is that a good idea? Below, please find some considerations for you as you decide what to do. We’ll
Pricing: will the home sell for more now, or in the new year or spring?
No one can tell you whether prices will be better or worse in the first quarter of 2012 than they are now. I just returned from the annual conference for the National Association of Realtors (of which I am a member), and quite honestly, I got conflicting information. Some reports indicate that prices will be lower in the spring, others that they will be higher – or interest rates may be higher, which puts pressure on pricing since affordability is strained when that happens. Pricing is local, though – so no matter what’s happening nationwide, it could be different in Silicon Valley, in Almaden, Cambrian, or Los Gatos, or in your subdivision or school area. But bottom line: we really don’t know what pricing will do, we only know the probable buyer’s value – a range of likely sales prices – right now.
Being disturbed during the holidays
Many home owners really don’t want a lot of traffic coming through the home from Thanksgiving through the New Year due to visiting relatives, events planned such as parties at the home, the presence of gifts and concerns over theft, etc. They may also be worried about rainy weather and carpets getting soiled.
At the same time, though, during the holidays many of us make our homes warm, bright and inviting, particularly if we decorate for Christmas, Thanksgiving, Hanukkah, etc. Even the smells can do wonders: gingerbread cookies, Christmas trees, hot mulled wine…. With family and friends coming to visit, we tend to “deck the halls” and make our houses really feel like homes. For many condos, townhouses and houses, during the holidays these homes really show at their best. (more…)
Tags: condo, condos, holidays, home selling, house, houses, listings, market, marketing, Showings, Silicon Valley real estate, townhome, townhouse
Posted in Selling Tips | No Comments »
Wednesday, September 21st, 2011
What’s your home buying style? Impulsive? Cautious? Analytic? Deep bargain hunter?
A few times in my real estate career, I’ve worked with Silicon Valley home buyers who were so anxious to purchase a home that I was concerned that their impulsivity might be a cause for buyer’s remorse later. When that happens, I try to slow them down a little – I’ll suggest “let’s look at least a few homes” if it happens that they want to buy the very first home they saw. Part of my fiduciary duty is to look out for my clients’ best interests, and sometimes that means putting the brakes on just a little (or telling them what they don’t want to hear).
More commonly, it’s the other extreme that I see in our very well educated, extremely analytic population: paralysis by analysis or an overabundance of caution. (Sometimes it’s overabundance of bargain hunting.)
The vast majority of successful Silicon Valley home buyers are somewhere in between: they set up their priorities and goals (“I want to buy in the next 4 months at this price with this location or school and this type of property and size of home”). The clearer they are on their goals, wants and needs, the easier it is to help them get it – as long as they have realistic expections. That is key!
Once – only once – I sold a Los Gatos house in which the husband purchased without the wife’s physically seeing it. This is rare! They had moved so many times that he understood precisely what mattered to her, and if the house met that list, he was good to go. (more…)
Tags: analysis, buyer's remorse, caution, contract, expectations, home buying, impulsivity, market, Silicon Valley real estate
Posted in Buying Tips, Working in real estate | No Comments »