Silicon Valley Real Estate Trends Update
Sunday, April 15th, 2012What’s the Silicon Valley real estate market doing? Silicon Valley is composed of many micro markets, and they may all behave independently of one another, but we are seeing some general trends.We’ll have a look at them today. Things have really, really changed from six months ago. It’s very dramatic.
First, a city by city comparison of the numbers for the county and Campbell, Cupertino, Los Gatos, Saratoga, San Jose (as a whole), Sunnyvale, etc. This first chart is for houses in the cities and towns of Santa Clara County. On the first line, which is for the entire county, please notice the sales price to list price ration – it is over 100%. This is perhaps the best indicator of the market heat we see here. Also note how low inventory is for the county – from a year ago, it’s off 29.2% (and that year was low also).
Perhaps not surprisingly, the sales price to list price ratio is highest in Palo Alto, where it was nearly 109%. Mountain View came in at 103%, Cupertino and Los Altos at 102%, Los Gatos, San Jose and Sunnyvale at a little over 100%. Some areas, such as Monte Sereno, have so few sales that their numbers fluctuate wildly (in the case of Monte Sereno, best to look to similar areas of Los Gatos for the best sense of pricing, usually, as they share schools, parks, police etc.).
Next, the same type of data but for condominiums and townhouses rather than houses & duet homes:
The condo market has been taking a beating for years, but at long last, the sales price to list price ratio is now very close to 100% (99.9% for the county) and many areas are more than 100%: Campbell, Cupertino, Los Altos, Milpitas, Mountain View, and Palo Alto. Most of the rest of the county is at 99% with just a couple of exceptions. What’s happening? The inventory here tells the story: county wide, it’s down 74% from last year. In Campbell and Los Altos it’s off 75%.
Inventory is at record lows, buyer demand is way up: we have a strong sellers’ market with multiple offers and overbids
First, there’s extremely low inventory. In February there were just 1389 single family homes for sale in Santa Clara County. A balanced market is somewhere around 3000 homes – so this is quite severe! In fact, it’s the lowest amount of inventory for any February going back 10 years. Here’s what it has looked like in other Februarys, per my Santa Clara County Real Estate Report (you can see these numbers yourselves): (more…)











