San Jose’s Cambrian, or Cambrian Park, area is a very hot seller’s market.  Multiple offers are not uncommon, especially in the Union School District, where schools are trending upward.  My Cambrian Park Real Estate Report has just been published with the updated numbers from the closed sales in April. Please click on the link to see much more information there.

Prices are up nicely year over year! Inventory is crazy low – just 35 homes for sale in April compared to 57 in March and 84 in April 2011. Days on market is far lower too. All around, it is a deepening seller’s market.

Even stronger is the Cambrian condo market, which is skyrocketing!!!  Please see the Cambrian Condominium & Townhouse Real Estate Report for all of the numbers, but I’ll include a quick summary below.

Here again, notice the ratio of active to pending homes, the sale vs list price (over 100%), and most of all, the tremendous rise in both the average and median sales price.  Few homes closed escrow in February, so it is possible that these numbers are a little exaggerated.  We will know more in a month – if it’s a trend or if this is a fluke.

Now let’s work with Altos Research’s graphs and get a feel for the Cambrian realty market in “real time”.  These use list prices, whereas my REReport uses sold data.

First, the statistics by quartile for houses in San Jose 95118:

Next, the stats and trends by price quartile for houses in San Jose 95124:

Median list price of homes for sale in 95124 and 95118 (all quartiles combined):

Very interesting that the 95124 pricing appears to be swinging upward while the 95118 pricing continues to go down.  I believe that this is mainly because the schools in 95124 have been trending upward strongly with the API scores.  Prices are also at a higher level, and those are less impacted by short sales and REOs countywide.  So it may be the result of multiple factors.  (95124 is about 2/3 of the Cambrian real estate market.)

Inventory in Cambrian area of San Jose 95124, 95118:

Surprising, isn’t it, to see how differently these two San Jose zip codes are behaving from each other?

Average days on Market in San Jose’s Cambrian area

And again, really different trends on these neighboring zips, both in Cambrian!

Another anecdotal story to share: Recently I closed the sale on my listing at 5114 Nerissa Way in Cambrian with Union Schools and Alta Vista in particular. We were listed at $579,000 and received 4 offers and sold at $585,000. Interestingly, we received 2 nearly identical “best” offers, both at $585,000. One was completely As Is and the other was almost As Is (they wanted a fumigation and pest clearance provided).  That is usually a pretty good affirmation of market value, and the property did appraise at the sales price.  The other two offers we got were below list price.  One was all cash and it was extremely low.  Buyers who are purchasing without financing sometimes misunderstand the type of discount that their all-cash status will get for them, so sometimes the worst offers are all cash and that was the case this time.

Want more info on your neighborhood, your house, or your target home to buy? Please call me!

Showing properties 1 - 5 of 34. See more 95124 zip code real estate.
(all data current as of 5/25/2012)

1. $699,000 : 2757 Theresa Ln, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 2 full baths

   Home size: 1,563 sq ft

   Lot size: 8,580 sqft
   
2. $699,000 : 1898 Kay Dr, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 2 full baths

   Home size: 1,331 sq ft

   Lot size: 7,062 sqft
   
3. $1,299,999 : 14904 Leigh Av, San Jose
   
   4 beds, 3 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 3,340 sq ft

   Lot size: 10,125 sqft
   
4. $682,950 : 3591 Gavota Av, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 2 full baths

   Home size: 1,600 sq ft

   Lot size: 7,500 sqft
   
5. $1,180,000 : 1777 Kirkmont Dr, San Jose
   
   4 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 2,306 sq ft

   Lot size: 8,249 sqft
   

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

Showing properties 1 - 5 of 22. See more 95118 zip code real estate.
(all data current as of 5/25/2012)

1. $829,950 : 1259 Bryan Av, San Jose
   
   5 beds, 3 full baths

   Home size: 2,238 sq ft

   Lot size: 8,050 sqft
   
2. $670,000 : 4241 Ranwick Ct, San Jose
   
   4 beds, 3 full baths

   Home size: 2,199 sq ft

   Lot size: 5,000 sqft
   
3. $785,000 : 3339 Beacon Ln, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 1,952 sq ft

   Lot size: 6,784 sqft
   
4. $998,000 : 5715 Mireille Dr, San Jose
   
   4 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 2,000 sq ft

   Lot size: 6,566 sqft
   
5. $649,000 : 1373 Adobe Ct, San Jose
   
   4 beds, 2 full baths

   Home size: 1,966 sq ft

   Lot size: 8,800 sqft
   

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

Browse lists of Cambrian & Cambrian Park homes for sale:
Houses for sale in the 95118 part of Cambrian
Cambrian Park Houses for Sale in 95124

Mary Pope-Handy, Realtor, CRS, ABR, e-PRO, SRES, ASP, CNHS, ACRE
Helping Nice Folks to Buy & Sell Homes Since 1993
Co-Author: “Get The Best Deal When Selling Your Home In Silicon Valley”
408 204-7673 (Cell)
emailto: Mary (at) PopeHandy.com
Blog: www.LiveInLosGatos.com & www.ValleyOfHeartsDelight.com

One of the mental traps I see that can foul up real estate expectations across Silicon Valley is the over emphasis placed on “price per square foot“. Here’s where the internet can seriously mislead people into thinking they understand home values more than they do, resulting in botched negotiations, frustration and disappointment. So let’s talk about it.

As one factor among many, it’s completely fair to include the price per SF when trying to determine what a home’s probable market value ought to be. (Remember, too, that a house, condo or townhouse isn’t worth one exact number, but a range – because the terms involved also impact the sales price.)  Although price per square foot is one way of finding approximate value, often is not the best, especially if you use it alone, because there are other factors besides the square footage of the house.  Here are some of the other factors that can mess up that valuation based on price per SF alone:

• precise location (view, proximity to something undesireable)
• lot size
• lot shape & access (flag lots may sell for less than homes directly on the street)
• whether the house is below or above grade/street level (most people don’t prefer being down from the street)
• back yard size
• amount of remodeling (and how recently it happened, whether with permits/finals)
• care for the home
• additons vs original square footage
• whether the street is a good one or full of parked cars & RVs
• sale type – regular vs distressed
• landscaping (especially “hardscaping” – patios, pools, summer kitchens etc.)
• amount of down payment
• whether it’s all cash, conventional financing or if the seller carries a note
• whether there were multiple offers soon after it hit the market or if it was one offer after languishing for weeks or months

The variance from “all original” to “all remodeled” alone can swing value 10% – 20% in the San Jose area.  Add to that other factors and the divergence in value can be much, much greater.

Additionally, smaller homes tend to sell for more on a per square footage basis than larger houses. The reason why is that kitchens and bathrooms are the most expensive rooms, but often there is just 1 kitchen and a similar number of baths with smaller vs larger homes.  Even if the properties are comparable in many ways, a 10% difference in square footage can make the price per SF very wrong.

What about new construction?

In a tract neighborhood of NEW HOMES, if the locations are similar and finishes are similar (no upgrades), there’s a better shot of the price per SF being useful information. Many new homes, though, offer a completed home with basic finishes, and the buyer must opt for upgrades such as adding a fireplace with custom mantle to the family room or master bedroom, better appliances or counter tops to kitchen and baths, etc.  Further, some new homes have basements and it’s possible that they may not be included in the square footage – and yet, of course, they may have immense value!

So even with tract homes, there are lots of caveats.  Additionally, the older a home gets, the less likely this approach is to be accurate because some owners will remodel their home every 10-15 years and others won’t do a thing, not even basic maintenance, and the home will be “tired”( at best) very soon.

Online and automatic valuations

Often when home buyers look at Silicon Valley properties for sale they compare the list prices via online valuations.    The difficulty is that the “auto-comp” figures are often wrong because they are based primarily, if not exclusively, on the “price per square foot” of the house’s listing. The online valuations often pick the middle of the viable range between “total fixer, probably needs to be demo’d” to “completely remodeled or brand new home”.  Most of the time, the “range” is about 10 – 15% from fixer to fixed, so most of the time, the online valuation will be right in the middle with a 5% swing either way. But some of these sites (if you read their disclaimers) say that they are within 80% of market value most of the time.  That’s not too accurate.

Let’s use round numbers to make this easy.  Let’s say that the online real estate pricing says that a home is probably worth $1 million dollars.  It might be that the actual pricing range goes anywhere from $900,000 to $1,100,000, but the virtual pricing tools don’t know if the home is next to high voltage lines, a busy road, is in the lesser school district, is remodeled or what.  Or, conversely, if it’s a short sale, has been a rental property that got totally trashed, or has terrible terrible neighbors in the immediate vicinity who have garage sales on a weekly basis and need safari gear to get through their front yard.  The true market value could be 5-10% higher or lower. It just depends.

So please take these things with a grain of salt.  If you look at the online pricing and decide it’s correct but the house you’re buying is in a lesser location or in worse condition, you’ll overpay.  And if it’s better, you’ll be too low and will wreck your odds of succeeding.  Don’t forget to include market heat when trying to determine the likely selling price of the home you want. If similar homes are getting multiple offers and selling 5% or more over list, then the sale from 3 months ago is only old news, not today’s prices. In those cases, if you only rely on comps, you will find that you miss the mark every time.  Home buyers who lowball their offers in a rapidly appreciating market will find that an expensive mistake to make, with the biggest risk being that they could even price themselves out of the market entirely.

My suggestion is to hire a good Realtor who can assist you with pinpointing the pricing, whether you are buying or selling, so that you can negotiate competitively and get the best deal you can for your home.   I don’t mean buyers hiring the listing agent, either.  When you do that, the agent also represents the seller and may be inclined to fight just for the other side – or for the highest price. Get your own real estate sales person who’s in your corner, helping you to evaluate properties and market value, and who will provide you good counsel all the way through the shopping, contract writing, negotiations, inspections, closing and beyond. There’s no reason to go it alone, and in fact doing so could cost you more in the long run.

For more reading on the same topic:

Assessed Property Value vs. Market Value of Silicon Valley Real Estate

Sometimes the List Price Isn’t the Expected Sales Price, So Run Comps!

What’s my home worth? Home owners may request an online evaluation by me by filling out this form. (The more info you provide, the more accurate the results will be

The Oaktree Park neighborhood in San Jose is a scenic residential community with wide appeal to home buyers due to good Almaden schools, close proximity to large parks and is one of only a few areas in Almaden Valley which includes a cabaña and swim team.  Additionally, this area is very convenient as it’s  close to schools, shops and commute routes to downtown San Jose and much of Silicon Valley. It is a fairly intimate neighborhood with 156 homes.

Where is the Oaktree Park neighborhood?

The Oaktree Park subdivision is within the boundaries of Meridian Avenue, Redmond Avenue and Mcabbe Road on three sides and the Jeffrey Fontana Park on the north side.

The census bureau (and perhaps also the city of San Jose) has attributed names to some parts of Almaden and this neighborhood falls into the Crossgates section.  I do not believe that most residents refer to this area that way, though.  Perhaps more likely they’d call it part of the greater Fontana Park neighborhood.

Oaktree Park Neighborhood in San Jose (Almaden Valley area of SJ) - click on image above to go to live Google Map

What schools serve the Oaktree Park neighborhood in San Jose?

The public schools for Oaktree Park are within the San Jose Unified School District:

Los Alamitos Elementary School (API 916 in 2010)
Castillero Middle School (API 806 in 2010)
Pioneer High School (API 823 in 2010)

Los Alamitos Elementary and Holy Spirit Elementary (Catholic) are both just a couple of blocks from Oaktree Park.  Additonally there are 2 preschools really close too:  Precious Preschool and Shepherd of the Valley Lutheran Preschool.

For more information and links for schools, school districts, API scores and maps of boundaries lines for schools in the Almaden area of San Jose, please also read:

Schools, API Scores & Maps of School Boundaries in San Jose’s Almaden Valley

What are homes like in Oaktree Park?

Homes in Oaktree Park are single family dwellings – all detached houses (no townhouses or condominiums).  These are primarily ranch style or two story ranch style houses, built in the early 1970s  on lots of about 8000 to 9000 square feet, though a few are more than that.  Interior size runs between about 1600 square feet to about 3000 square feet (if added on). Prices may be in the mid 600s for a smaller home, needing work and a less desirable location (such as on a busy road or immediately adjacent to the high voltage power lines that run through the park) to perhaps a little over a million dollars for a beautifully updated or rebuilt larger home in an ideal location within the neighborhood.

Oaktree Park Neighborhood Home for Sale: 6064 Ostenberg Drive

This week I put a fabulously remodeled and expanded Oaktree Park neighborhood home on the market!  This exquisite house has an awesomely open floorplan with an amazing kitchen – a gourmet’s delight!  Have a look at the details! Open Sat/Sun, April 21-22, 2012 1-4pm.

We're sorry, but we couldn't find MLS # 81213394 in our database. This property may be a new listing or possibly taken off the market. Please check back again.

More information on the Oaktree Park Neighborhood!

Oaktree Park Neighborhood fun: the cabaña, clubhouse, swim team and parks

The cabaña and community grounds are located on Crestoak Court (where a large oak tree did once stand).  The swim team, the Sharks, serve children up to age 18.

The HOA has a “welcome new neighbors” page with some great information on nearby amenities.

There’s a huge amount of open space and parkland adjacent to Oaktree Park, with both trails for walking, biking or rollerblading as well as expanses of lawn and natural open spaces which invite deer and other indigenous wildlife.  Nearby parks include the Jeffrey Fontana Park, the Guadalupe Oak Grove Park  just beyond that and the TJ Martin Park a little to the west of these two.  These three parks are connected and provide a fabulous network of trails.

Turnover is pretty low in this neighborhood as residents appreciate the access to the community pool, the parks, schools, shops and commute venues.  In many ways, this tidy little neighborhood offers the very best of Almaden: community, multiple reasons to be outdoors and a pretty location with lovely views.

How’s the real estate market in the Willow Glen area of San Jose?  Like the greater Silicon Valley region, Willow Glen is comprised of many smaller micro-markets.  It will be different in north Willow Glen, Palm Haven or in a walk-to-town area than it will be in the Dry Creek area or St. Francis Woods neighborhood – let alone differences for school districts, price point, sale type (regular versus short sale or bank owned), zip code and home type!  It’s a patchwork of all these smaller markets, in other words.  What’s happening in one segment might be very different than in another.

Today’s post will be the broad view of Willow Glen and comments may not apply to your specific property – for info on your neighborhood, call or email me!

Disclaimers aside, overall it is a seller’s market in Willow Glen right now, but it’s cooler than other areas with better schools such as Almaden, Cambrian and Cupertino and not everything is selling (and certainly not getting the prices that many sellers want).  The best homes (best condition, pricing, marketing and regular sale) are selling in 1-3 weeks.

Below are the basic numbers, stats and trends from the closed sales of houses in March

and in February:

And next, of Willow Glen condos, where it’s been a cold buyer’s market but recently heated up:

Next, February…

What about home prices in Willow Glen?

Below please find the Altos Charts (to which I have a subscription). NB Altos uses LIST prices, not solds (also they go by zips or cities, so don’t cover Willow Glen per se with it’s partial entry into the 95124 zip).

1 – Houses in the 95125 zip code – history, all prices combined.

2 – Houses in the San Jose, 95125 zip code, by price quartile over last 180 days

3 – Condominiums and townhouses in Willow Glen, San Jose 95125 – all quartiles combined over the last few years for median list price:

4 – Condo and townhomes, median list price, by quartile, last 180 days only:

It is interesting to see the rise in list prices here as opposed to the overall DROP in sales prices we saw on the RE Report. Of course this could be a function of all kinds of things, including the impact of distressed sales.

All kinds of things can impact the probable buyer’s market for a particular house or home, but especially distressed sales nearby. For information on what the market is doing in your exact neighborhood, please call or email me today.

Willow Glen homes for sale

Browse residential properties – houses, duet homes, condos and townhomes in Willow Glen which are listed for sale on the MLS by type below.

1. Listings of houses for sale in Willow Glen, San Jose 95125

Showing properties 1 - 5 of 60. See more 95125 zip code real estate.
(all data current as of 5/25/2012)

1. $2,595,000 : 1407 Willow St, San Jose
   
   4 beds, 3 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 4,000 sq ft

   Lot size: 20,130 sqft
   
2. $329,000 : 788 Delmas Av, San Jose
   
   4 beds, 2 full baths

   Home size: 1,218 sq ft

   Lot size: 5,382 sqft
   
3. $779,000 : 2499 Booksin Av, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 2 full baths

   Home size: 1,523 sq ft

   Lot size: 6,098 sqft
   
4. $779,000 : 823 Romani Ct, San Jose
   
   4 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 2,429 sq ft

   Lot size: 3,600 sqft
   
5. $1,925,000 : 1674 Mulberry Ln, San Jose
   
   4 beds, 3 full baths

   Home size: 2,862 sq ft

   Lot size: 10,070 sqft
   

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

Showing properties 1 - 5 of 8. See more 95125 zip code real estate.
(all data current as of 5/25/2012)

1. $399,000 : 2273 Golden Crest, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 3 full baths

   Home size: 1,620 sq ft

   Lot size: 1,306 sqft
   
2. $659,000 : 1705 Cherryhills Ln, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 2,000 sq ft

   Lot size: 2,128 sqft
   
3. $669,900 : 1578 Whiterock Ci, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 2,010 sq ft

   Lot size: 2,225 sqft
   
4. $519,900 : 676 Willow St, San Jose
   
   2 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 1,376 sq ft

   Lot size: 1,306 sqft
   
5. $773,500 : 1624 Sparkling Wy, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 1,954 sq ft

   Lot size: 2,128 sqft
   

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

3. Listings of condominiums (condos) for sale in Willow Glen, San Jose 95125

Showing properties 1 - 1 of 1. See more 95125 zip code real estate.
(all data current as of 5/25/2012)

1. $345,000 : 2132 Sunstruck Ct, San Jose
   
   2 beds, 2 full baths

   Home size: 1,144 sq ft

   Lot size: 1,566 sqft
   

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

Even if your home isn’t a “view property”, things can be done to enhance the attractiveness of windows and their views. Recently I was showing a San Jose home for sale to my buyers.  I was struck by the window in one of the bedrooms.  Have a look – what do you think?  Would you want to look out at this wall every day? It is not a cheerful and welcoming environment.

There are places in San Francisco, and probably other cities around the country, where homes are crammed in so tightly together that windows function only for light and air – not aesthetics.  But in Silicon Valley, that’s not usually the case.  What was the builder of this home thinking, to have a bedroom window look out only onto a wall?

This next photo is of a window which is very close to a fence. But please notice how different the whole look and feel is.

Although a fence is close by, plantings on both sides of it provide some pleasant scenery.  Additionally, the window itself is given two treatments: both shades and curtains.  The color in the drapes helps to improve the scene too.

Admittedly, it’s a bigger challenge if the window’s view is of a wall which is 6 or 8 feet away and more so if it’s a 2nd story window. But what could be done to make this more attractive?

Here are some thoughts:

(1) If possible, plant something that will provide color – ideally a flowering vine or tree.  Some are not too wide and would provide a pleasant vista.

(2) Consider hanging a bird feeder, planter box or yard ornament outside of the window

(3) Stained glass window hangings could cheer up this gloomy space tremendously

(4) Instead of bland drapes, provide something with color

(5) Translucent blinds, in the closed position, would be more attractive but still let light in

Many homes don’t have challenges as big as this example, above, but could be better staged in terms of the window view.  If you want to put your home on the market and get top dollar, walk through your property and take in what a visitor sees from each window.  Ideally, you’d like to have the shades or blinds open and provide something pleasant to see.  Sometimes that’s not possible.  See what can be done to mitigate an unpleasant view while keeping the curtains open.

A few landscaping changes in your own yard (if you have a house or townhouse) can make a huge difference, often for a small cost.  Consider adding color.  Yards that are all green are not bad, but they don’t tend to warm hearts the way that a splash of color can.

Sometimes the 2 way blinds – the ones that can go down from the top or up from the bottom – can solve a lot of visual problems, such as ugly RVs, old cars, or messy yards on the lower part of the window or power lines or tall buildings on the higher end.

Still not sure what to do? Hire a great home stager to help you to make your home attractive, and make sure that you’re considering not just what’s inside of the home, but what visitors see when they look out through your windows and doors too.

How common are “all cash” transactions for Silicon Valley real estate right now?  Throughout Santa Clara County, they were 25% of all sales, up from 20% in October 2011,  among houses, duet homes, condominiums and townhouses (class 1 and class 2, does not include mobile homes, 2-4plex or apartment buildings or raw land).   What’s trending? Lots, including more cash offers.

Some areas and some types of sales are more frequently all cash than others.  Here are a few quick stats for the last month (last 30 days from today – numbers from MLSListings, crunched by me – disclaimer on good intentions but no guarantee). Also, please note that this is for CLOSED SALES. As of this writing, we are seeing a huge uptick in multiple offers in all price ranges in many parts of the valley, and it seems that many are all cash or very large cash downpayments.

• Santa Clara County: 25% all cash
• San Jose (entire city): 27% all cash
• San Jose short sales: 27% all cash (down from 33% in Oct 2011)
• San Jose bank owned or REO sales: 39% all cash (38% Oct 2011)
• Short sales & REOs were 52% of all sales in San Jose in last 30 days (was 48% Oct 2011)
• Of SJ homes listed at $300,000 or less: 44% all cash (was 48% Oct 2011)
• Of SJ homes listed at/under $500,000: 33% were all cash (didn’t track in October 2011)
• Los Gatos: 9% all cash
• Saratoga: 8% all cash
• Almaden Valley area of San Jose: 10% all cash

Some of these sales will have no financing and the new owners will occupy the home.  Particularly in lower priced homes, though, these are investor buyers who will be renting out the property.  This is often the case with the lower price distressed properties in particular.  In higher priced homes, some new owners will put financing on the property after close of escrow.

With the crazy new demands that keep coming at us from banks and new requirements being imposed on appraisers, now more than ever, cash is king.  That doesn’t mean that the cash buyer will get a deep discount, but there will be a slight one in most cases and certainly preferential treatment that will create a great advantage in multiple offer situations.

Learn more about buying and selling Silicon Valley real estate with cash offers:

Cash offers: what do you need to know if buying “all cash”?

Q & A: Making an Offer

What’s My Silicon Valley Home Worth? Estimating the Probable Buyer’s Value  (financing impacts market value)

San Jose’s Rose Garden neighborhood (part of the 95126 zip code) includes a treasure of a place: the Rosicrucian Egyptian Museum. Located at the corner of Park and Naglee Avenues, it’s a quick trip from the San Jose airport, Santa Clara University, and downtown San Jose in the heart of Silicon Valley.

Oddly, it has its own unique zip code, which can be confusing if you have a sense of what belongs where in Silicon Valley. Surrounded by the central San Jose zip of 95126, for some reason, this block of land has its own distinct zip code: 95191. Don’t let it fool you – it’s still part of the Rose Garden district.

As a child who attended St. Leo’s Elementary School  just up the road off Race Street, it seemed that we would visit this museum annually. What struck me when I was young were the replica of a tomb and the mummies.  Later it was the jewelry and amulets.  Each time, something different stood out – and that is true for me today, also.

Enjoying the outdoors or doing a local museum day

The grounds seem much nicer today than they were in the 60s and 70s; my sense is that it’s always improving.  One of many nice features on this campus is the peace garden – open to the public and a very pleasant place in which to spend a little time. There’s a game to be played, fountains to view and walkways to wander.

In fact, if you were to want to spend even more time out doors, it would be very worthwhile to see also the San Jose Municipal Rose Garden – just a few blocks away on Naglee Avenue .  (A Starbucks at Naglee and Park, just across the street, offers food and beverages should you find that you stayed out too long.)  Want to make it an all museum day? About 1-2 miles up the road is the De Sassait Museum on the campus of Santa Clara University – and it’s free! Or a couple of miles in the opposite direction and you can take in the San Jose Museum of Art.

The few mummies on display were always a highlight – both intriguing and disgusting.  The museum includes human and animal mummies.  Today I see them and think that they really ought to be returned to their ancestral lands for burial rather than stand out as an artifact to be viewed in a museum. (I am not sure why the forces that be in Egypt don’t make a compelling case for their return.)

This museum is not for the under age 5 set, but it is great for kids in grade school and older.  Just last week I took my 21 year old daughter there again, as she’s taking a class on ancient Egypt in college and wanted to revisit the museum where she’d been several times before.

1660 Park Avenue
San Jose CA 95191

http://www.egyptianmuseum.org/

How’s the real estate market in San Jose’s Almaden Valley? Commentary and statistics…..

It’s actuallya lot hotter than the numbers for the Almaden closed sales in February might indicate; the last 2-3 weeks have seen a heat-up the likes of which I have not seen since 2000. Many properties are selling fast, sometimes with multiple offers.  We are experiencing this trend throughout the west valley areas: Los Gatos, Saratoga, Cupertino, Palo Alto and on up the Peninsula.  These multiple offers are pushing prices higher. In many cases, it is much higher.  I’m seeing some overbids of more than $100,000 in some cases as well as offers with no contingencies for loan or home inspection. Listing agents sometimes write in their private MLS comments for other agents “no pre-emptive offers“.

What’s driving it?  There are years of pent up demand in which would-be home buyers sat on the fence, either because they expected further price drops or because, in the case of move-up buyers, they didn’t have enough equity to budge.  With record low interest rates and prices creeping up – combined with an infusion of cash from high tech employees with either great stock prices (Apple) or an IPO (LinkedIn, Facebook, Yelp, and more), there’s the classic case of more demand than supply. 

Almost every offer I’ve been involved with over the last month has been a multiple offer situation, whether in south San Jose, Blossom Valley, Cambrian, Los Gatos, or Saratoga.  Prices from $400,000 to $1,800,000 – all at least 5 offers, sometimes far more.  As Chris Trappani, the CEO and founder of Sereno Group says, “we’re seeing it now – the papers will report on it in a month”.

Stats for the Almaden real estate market for houses in February 2012 (click on link to see more info):

Note that the median sales price is up almost 15% from January and the average price rose 7% month over month. Year over year it’s not so good but from what we are seeing, it’s unlikely to look like this when the March 2012 numbers roll in.  Also note the jump in pending sales and the lower number of actives – less inventory, more absorption.

Coming Soon! On MLS Thursday, Feb 23 and Open House Saturday Feb 25 and Sunday Feb 26, 2012 2 – 4pm

870 Brevins Loop: Beautiful, Elegant Willow Glen Home for Sale!

New Listing, Please Stop By!  Open Sat/Sun, Feb 25-26, 2012 from 2-4pm

In a couple of days I will put this new Willow Glen listing of mine on the MLS and I look forward to holding it open this weekend for the first time. If you are in the area, please swing by and have a look! I always enjoy meeting the readers of my blog & this is a home you will enjoy seeing!

The house & yard are full of amenities that Silicon Valley home buyers will appreciate:
hardwood floors, built-in bookcases and media niches, slab granite, gas cooking, stainless steel appliances, lots of windows & natural light, a luxurious master sweet with 2 walk-in closets and a spacious bathroom with big soaking tub, separate shower and two separate vanities. Central air conditioning.   The lush backyard boasts two trellises, sandstone hardscape & custom lighting. The front yard is easy-care: the HOA takes care of the maintenance!

More Details on 870 Brevins Loop, San Jose (Willow Glen)

As of today, there are ten houses on the market in “the Willows”.  What makes one home better or more desirable than another? It’s all about the details!

By the numbers:

3 bedrooms + loft (4 bedroom plan/option)
2 full baths, 1 half bath
2292 square feet of living space (approximately)
3920 square foot lot (appx)
2 car garage
Living-Dining Room
Family Room
Laundry Room
Master Suite includes 2 walk in closets, large bathroom with big tub, separate stall shower and two sinks with vanites.

Special amenities:
Air conditioning
Water softener (owned, not leased)
Reverse osmosis water purification system

Stunning Gourmet Kitchen at 870 Brevins Loop in The Willows of San Jose (Willow Glen)

The Gourmet Chef’s Kitchen

slab granite counters
maple cabinets
beautiful tile backsplash
newer stainless steel appliances
stainless sink & amazing faucet
tile floors
recessed & drop down lights
under the cabinet lighting
large island with breakfast bar
nook with access to rear yard &
open to family room

The kitchen is located at the rear of the home and is open to the nook, family room and elegant back yard.  It’s just steps away from the formal dining area, too, so is ideally located in the home.

The Use of Wood: Hardwood Floors, Wood Cabinets & Niches

Loft bookcase and media center

The kitchen, of course, displays a great deal of maple cabinetry.  But wood is found throughout this home.

Beautiful hardwood flooring is found in the family room, living and dining rooms as well as on the first few steps of the stair case and the landing by the half bath.  (The kitchen and baths all have tile floors.)

The family room enjoys a lovely wooden media niche near the fireplace, and the loft upstairs has a beautiful and useful wooden bookcase/media niche as well.

All interior doors are white, raised panel doors (except for the two walk in closet doors in the master bedroom suite).

The wood found throughout the house makes it feel traditional & contemporary at the same time – “warm & homey” as well as personalized.

The Exquisite Backyard – Showpiece of The Willows

Sandstone patios, walkways and walls meander through the yard, with trellises at one end and also in the middle

Step into the backyard at 870 Brevins Loop and you will find an uncommonly elegant yard, beautifully designed using sandstone patios, walkways, walls and seating areas.

Focal points include two trellises, one just opposite the sliding glass door and featuring a cascade of Morning Glories and the other at the far right side of the yard, with a bench for taking in the scenery.

Mature plants, bushes and trees ring the yard: birch, Japanese Maple, annuals, vines and more.  By day it can feel like a retreat.  By night, though, it is also beautiful, thanks to dramatic lighting. Some small, automatic lighting is built along the walls. There are also two posts with lamps at the far right and far left of the yard. And, of course, there are two more lights by the slider into the kitchen.

Links for More Information & More Photos of this Willow Glen Home

If you would like even more details on this fine home, please visit a page on one of my websites with even more details:  870 Brevins Loop, San Jose CA 95125

Or if you’d just like to see more photos, visit the virtual tour, which has about 65 photographs of this property.

To learn more about The Willows community, Rubino Park and the area generally, please read this post on my Valley of Hearts Delight blog:
Introducing a Beautiful Willow Glen Neighborhood, “The Willows”

Browse real estate listings and find homes for sale in San Jose & Willow Glen:
www.HousesForSaleInSanJose.com

A Silicon Valley home seller’s joy and buyer’s nightmare, multiple offers are back and exceedingly common in San Jose and nearby areas right now.  It has been true for many months that the most affordable houses in Santa Clara County, especially those under $450,000, are often selling with several purchase contracts on them (about 25% of which are investors, and many of those are “all cash“).  One Sereno Group real estate agent shared that their client was up against a whopping 37 other offers last week for a house in the entry level pricing tier!

What’s new, then? The price points.  Today we are experiencing the same situation in homes between $1 million and $2 million (though fewer offers) and sometimes higher still.  A few days ago I was involved with bids on a Saratoga house priced a little under $2,000,000 and it ended up getting 5 offers.  This wasn’t a turnkey property with a Section 1 pest clearance, but rather a nice house with “good bones” that needed work.

Why are we seeing so many multiple offers, and in such a broad range of pricing, in Silicon Valley?

Feeding the frenzy are the low, rock bottom interest rates (for most real estate consumers in lower or mid range pricing), lower home prices than a year ago – resulting in increased demand – combined with a dire shortage of inventory, or lack of supply. (Some sellers are waiting until later this year, when they think that they can make more from the sale of their home, too.)  If that weren’t enough, we have money pouring into the valley due to the initial public offerings of companies like Zynga in Los Gatos and LinkedIn and Google in Mountain View plus Facebook in Menlo Park.  And don’t forget Apple, in Cupertino, which is now trading at over $500 per share!  Even for companies which are either not yet public or there’s a waiting period for selling stock, there are means of cashing out some value via private exchanges or borrowing on options.  Some tell me that this has been the case for a year!

These high tech giants are fueling more than just the luxury market in Mountain View or Palo Alto.  Much of Silicon Valley is feeling the impact as some workers may be commuting from Willow Glen, Blossom Valley, Cambrian or elsewhere.   Also, newer employees may have smaller bonuses or gains – just enough to get them into an FHA mortgage with a low down payment.  Where do you see those white, unmarked Google commuter buses? Or the silver ones from Apple?  Where you see them, there’s an impact underway!

The good news is that all of this infusion of cash is good for our local economy.  It’s a little tough on home buyers, or even people looking for rental homes, right now.  It will likely improve as the year goes on because inventory normally rises with the peak being somewhere in the summer most years.  No guarantee – sometimes it doesn’t behave “as usual”. Inventory has been down quite a bit over recent years, so much that the 4th quarter of 2011 for houses in Santa Clara County was off 43% from the same quarter 3 years prior. On a monthly basis, Jan 2012 was off 30% from January 2010. Please see trends below for last 2 years – typically, inventory does rise beginning in January or February.  In 2010 the rise was very dramatic but in 2011 it felt like nothing happened at all, the increase of homes for sale was so slight!

The new year has started out with a tremendous shortage of inventory.  There is pent up demand for people to be moving so I would expect it to burst through at some point – hopefully not to the extreme where it again pushes prices back down.

Right now I’m working with a number of very frustrated home buyers.  Silicon Valley real estate inventory is painfully low, and in the lower price ranges especially, that means multiple offers are fairly common.  FHA home buyers, in particular, are getting out bid and out negotiated by all cash buyers, many of whom are investors.

How low is the inventory?  Let’s have a look at January’s inventory for houses & duet homes (“class 1″ or single family homes) over the last ten years in Santa Clara County (San Jose, Los Gatos, Campbell, etc.):

2012  1,382
2011  2,007
2010  2,426
2009  4,759
2008  4,872
2007  2,698
2006  2,202
2005  1,285
2004  1,612
2003  3,119

The average January inventory of available houses over the last 10 years is 2,636.  At 1,382, January 2012′s available inventory of houses for sale in the San Jose area was just 52% of normal.  It’s not really much different now, in early February (just did a quick check on the MLS and it’s  1509 houses now – 630 have sold & closed in the last 30 days so that’s 2.4 months of inventory – a hot seller’s market).  This is what constitutes a very severe inventory shortage.

Demand hasn’t slackened, but supply has.  You know what that means – it will push prices up, it will make buyers crazy feeling.

Why is inventory so low?

A common question is this: why is inventory so low?  I believe that there are a few drivers.  First, many home owners who would like to move really need more equity to do so.  They are waiting for the market to recover.  Some may be waiting for prices to return to their previous highs (they could be waiting awhile). Others just need a little more to make the move possible at all.

Many owners of higher priced homes are holding on until the second half of 2012, when it is expected that there will be more people with buying power due to recent and upcoming IPOs.  Economists are now predicting a bit of a frenzy the second half of this year with prices in more expensive homes getting pushed up due to competition from employees of various high tech firms.  Smart buyers are trying to get in before that hits – a real challenge given the inventory situation.

Reality check: not every house is selling!

The best properties are selling well – those which are newer or nicely remodeled, in turn key condition, easy to see, great marketing with multiple photos, appropriate MLS exposure and priced aggressively.  This is what every buyer wants, the perfect house.  Most of my clients tell me that they are willing to replace carpet and repaint, but they don’t want to do anything big, such as kitchen or bathroom remodels, removing a pool, foundation or drainage repairs, etc.  No one does!

One of the easiest ways of improving your odds on being able to purchase a house is to move away from the new or fully remodeled vision of your ideal house.  Lower your budget a little, decide to prefer homes that have been sitting on the market not due to location issues, but rather to pricing or condition issues – both of which can be fixed.

For instance, many home buyers will take a pass on properties which have a pool in the backyard.  A few months back, I did some research and found that houses with pools are harder to sell right now.  Appraisers count a pool as an improvement, but many consumers view it as a liability – an ongoing monthly expense to heat and maintain and a risk if there are small children.  Many think that it will be overwhelmingly difficult to remove and relandscape a pool, so will not even consider writing an offer if the property includes an in ground pool.

Truth is, it’s not that hard to hire a company to redo a backyard; it is not invasive the way a kitchen remodel is.  You could have it done before even moving in!  The cost varies on whether you want the pool fully removed or partially as well as how to relandscape afterwards.  I have seen bids for pool demolition work under $10,000 (relandscaping extra) with more bids between $10,000 and $25,000.  Lawn and sprinklers are not so expensive to add!

The pool issue is just one example – there are many other properties for sale which are passed over due to the condition not being ideal.  Remodeling can feel a little scary but when inventory is so tight, it can be the ticket to home ownership.

Likewise with over priced properties.  Although most homes sell within a couple of percent of list price, there are exceptions.  Sometimes real estate is badly overpriced, and in those cases you may get a seller to agree to a larger price reduction – 10% may even fly.  (This is unusual, I would note. Usually if a house is not worth within 5% of list price, the seller is unreasonable and won’t accept an offer which is less. But sometimes it can work.)

Here’s to the over priced ugly duckling.  It could be your best friend when inventory is rock bottom!

Cambrian Park, or more broadly, Cambrian, is a west San Jose neighborhood or district and is one of the more affordable, high-value areas in Silicon Valley. The schools are good, the crime is low, and the commute is not too bad. For people relocating to Santa Clara County, this is a place to know about since quality education and affordability are often high priorities!

What’s the compromise for the more reasonable prices of homes for sale? Well, Cambrian doesn’t have an interesting, upscale downtown area like Campbell, Los Gatos, Saratoga, or Willow Glen.

But it does have tons of shopping & restaurants and even a Farmer’s Market. It also enjoys a top notch hospital (Good Samaritan) and plenty of parks as well as a fantastic rec center with a large park adjacent to it, the Camden Community Center, which has tons of programs (including an after school program for youth), classes, and a fabulous pool.  (My family and I lived in Cambrian in the “Cambrian Gardens” neighborhood for 10 years and loved it – our kids made great use of the community center too.)

Altogether, there are about 75,000 to 80,000 residents in Cambrian, spread throughout the three zip codes of 95124, 95118 and a little tiny bit of 95008.

If there is a “central Cambrian Park”, it would have to be near the original Cambrian Park Shopping Center, which was the first actual mall in San Jose! That area is sometimes known as Cambrian Village.  People sometimes use the three names interchangeably: Cambrian, Cambrian Park, Cambrian Village.:

Where is Cambrian Park? Map of approximate Cambrian Boundaries:

View Cambrian Area of San Jose in a larger map

Cambrian Park is a west side suburban area, part of the city of San Jose for the most part (there are a few county pockets, a bit now covered by Campbell, though), which is located adjacent to Campbell, Los Gatos, Almaden Valley, Blossom Valley and Willow Glen.

The Cambrian Park boundaries are, approximately, Foxworthy Avenue, Bascom Avenue, Carlton Avenue, Blossom Hill Road (except for a jut up in the Vista Loop area), Camden Avenue, the Guadalupe Creek (between Coleman Ave and Blossom Hill Rd.) and Almaden Expressway. There are many many zigs and zags, especially with the Los Gatos border, but I sketched out the approximate boundaries so that readers could get a rough idea of the area we call Cambrian Park – see the map above.

What are the schools in Cambrian?

Cambrian is served by 3 elementary school districts: The Union School District (in the area closest to Los Gatos), the Cambrian School District (the part to the north, closer to Campbell) and San Jose Unified School District (covering most of the 95118 section).   High Schools are served by Campbell Union High School District if the homes are in the Union or Cambrian schools area, or San Jose Unified in the rest of Cambrian. (Some school districts are elementary and middle only, with a separate high school district.  Others are “unified”, covering K – 12.)

The newest API scores for Santa Clara County’s public schools have been released as of Nov 29, 2011.  If you are unfamiliar with how API scores work, it’s on a scale of 1 to 1000.  The target number for the county is 800, so anything higher is considered good.  Getting close to or over 900 is rare and is the mark of an exceptionally excellent school.

Cambrian came out even stronger than in years past, particularly in the Union School District, where 5 out of 6 elementary schools were in the 900s and the other 1 school was at 878.

The middle schools in the Union area of Cambrian Park also scored high in 2010, with Dartmouth at 900 and Union Middle at 881. For some reason there are NO scores for 2011.

In the Cambrian School District there are 4 grammar schools, 3 of which slipped from the previous year and 1 of which went up.  Bagby was at 905 this time and the rest were in the 8s. Price Charter Middle School held steady at 864.

The high schools in this region (the Campbell Union HSD) all went up from the previous year, but only one of them, Leigh, is over 800 (Leigh has a strong 822 API).

Maps for the school district boundaries and school of attendance in Cambrian:

Map of the Union School District (loads slowly, please allow more time than seems reasonable):
http://www3.unionsd.org/unionsd/lib/unionsd/union_boundarymap.pdf

Map of the Cambrian School District of its boundaries (zoom in for better view), showing school of attendance maps also (they include the Farnaham charter School):
http://www.cambrian.k12.ca.us/oldSite/district_site/images/Cambrian_School_District_Map.jpg

The Cambrian elementary schools covered by the San Jose Unified School District are:
Almaden Elementary (782 API), Hacienda Science/Environmental Magnet Elementary (872) , and Reed Elementary (844).  The middle schools in Cambrian or covering Cambrian for the SJUSD are Castillero (795, slipped a little from the previous year – this school is in Almaden Valley) and John Muir (782).  The map of this district is not very helpful – cannot seem to zoom in:
http://www.sjusd.org/school/district/map_district/

The History of Cambrian, via the Cambrian Community Council

A friend & past client of mine (who purchased a home with me in Cambrian) very kindly told me about a wonderful article on the history of the Cambrian area which can be found on the Cambrian Community Council website.

Cambrian Area: It was always about the schools!

As with many parts of California, interestingly, the name itself goes back to the naming of a school (Cambria being another name for Wales).  This happened in the mid to late 1800s. The details of the founding of the Union School District and the Cambrian School District are shared there, too. It’s funny to think that more than a century later, the high quality schools in this San Jose neighborhood are still of prime importance and a main driver in home values.

Where was Cambrian originally?

The article further explains that the Cambrian area was an enormous stretch of land, and that Cambrian Park is within that general area (as is “Cambrian Village”, found at the crossroads of Union and Camden Avenues in San Jose).  The boundaries got defined differently at various points in time, and at times has included part of Los Gatos. (I read elsewhere that Cambrian was said to extend as far as Dry Creek Road at one point.) Some areas that were originally Cambrian are now part of Willow Glen or part of Campbell. Our local Realtor MLS defines the area as going roughly from about Foxworthy to the north to Blossom Hill in the south, Almaden Expressway to the east and Bascom Avenue to the west. (It touches Los Gatos, Almaden Valley, Willow Glen, and Campbell.)

If you live in this wonderful part of Silicon Valley, I encourage you to visit the CCC website and enjoy their colorful article, History of the Cambrian Area.

Cambrian Park Neighborhoods

Because I sell a fair amount in Cambrian and lived there, I am very partial to this area and have begun doing posts which are Cambrian neighborhood spotlight pieces.  I hope you will enjoy them.  More posts are to come but here are a few to get you started:

The Alta Vista Neighborhood, Where San Jose’s Cambrian Park and Los Gatos Weave Together Along The Base of the Hills

The “King Street” Neighborhood of Cambrian Park on the Los Gatos Border

Cambrian Park Neighborhoods: How to Choose Where to Live?

How’s the Cambrian Park Real Estate Market?

You can read about the Cambrian real estate market (as well as other Silicon Valley real estate markets in Santa Clara County) on my REReport, which is updated in the first week or so of each month.

The current RE Report for Cambrian Park Houses
The current RE Report for Cambrian Condominiums & Townhouses

What is my Cambrian home worth?

If you live in Cambrian now and are wondering about the market value of your home today, there are two approaches you can take.  You can request from me an online valuation (which will be approximate only as it’s “sight unseen”) at either of two places:

Price Your Home request on popehandy.com or at SiliconValleyHomeValue.com

Both of these come to me and I run the numbers personally for home owners who request them (sorry, this offer is not for home buyers).  I can usually turn the info around within a day, but sometimes it takes a couple of days if I happen to be travelling or otherwise overly busy.  If you make a request and for some reason don’t hear back from me within a couple of hours to acknowledge your request, please email or phone me!  Once in awhile, technology doesn’t come through and I don’t get an email alert when I should.

Alternatively, if you do not wish to share your contact info with me at this time, you can also simply browse the sold real estate listings in Cambrian on my Property Analysis page of the RE Report.  Just input an address (it’s not saved, I won’t see it) anywhere in Santa Clara County, and you’ll be able to view nearby sold, pending and available homes for sale close to your property.

What do houses cost in Cambrian?

If you’d like to buy a Cambrian home, you can browse the MLS listings of Cambrian Homes for Sale on this blogsite.  I have them listed by zip code on separate posts for houses, and below this section are the currently available condo and townhome properties which are on our MLS.

Houses for Sale in Cambrian Park, San Jose, 95118

Cambrian Park Houses for Sale in 95124

What do townhouses and condos cost in Cambrian?

Below, please browse MLS listings of Cambrian condos for sale and Cambrian townhouses for sale in 95124 and 95118:

Showing properties 1 - 5 of 11. See more 95124 zip code real estate.
(all data current as of 5/25/2012)

1. $269,000 : 3485 Wine Barrel Wy, San Jose
   
   2 beds, 1 full bath

   Home size: 868 sq ft

   Lot size: 840 sqft
   
2. $825,000 : 2173 Vizcaya Cl Ci, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 3 full baths

   Home size: 2,421 sq ft

   Lot size: 3,952 sqft
   
3. $725,000 : 2816 Paseo Ln, San Jose
   
   4 beds, 4 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 2,438 sq ft

   Lot size: 871 sqft
   
4. $519,950 : 2881 Meridian Av #157, San Jose
   
   2 beds, 2 full baths

   Home size: 1,383 sq ft
   
5. $439,000 : 6091 Calle De Amor, San Jose
   
   2 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 1,490 sq ft

   Lot size: 2,300 sqft
   

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

Showing properties 1 - 4 of 4. See more 95118 zip code real estate.
(all data current as of 5/25/2012)

1. $415,000 : 4971 Cherry Av, San Jose
   
   3 beds, 2 full, 1 part baths

   Home size: 1,348 sq ft

   Lot size: 1,371 sqft
   
2. $199,950 : 1325 Joplin Dr #1, San Jose
   
   2 beds, 1 full bath

   Home size: 810 sq ft

   Lot size: 435 sqft
   
3. $199,000 : 4970 Cherry Av #201, San Jose
   
   1 bed, 1 full bath

   Home size: 675 sq ft

   Lot size: 1,879 sqft
   
4. $219,900 : 4568 Waterville Dr, San Jose
   
   1 bed, 1 full bath

   Home size: 771 sq ft

   Lot size: 435 sqft
   

Listing information deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Read full disclaimer.

Median List price for San Jose 95129

Average Days on Market for 95129

Inventory of houses for sale in San Jose 95129

The annual market report is out at popehandy.REReport.com and we can now learn how 2011 compared to 2010.  The median sales price for houses in Santa Clara County was off 5.3% overall.  But from one part of the valley to the next it varied wildly with 6 cities or areas finding themselves in positive territory while others were off by double digits.

In the image to the left, I’ve put into bold the cities where the median sales price of houses which sold and closed escrow in 2011 were ahead of 2010′s pricing.

What is it that makes Gilroy, Los Altos Hills, Los Gatos, Mountain View and Palo Alto “in the black”?

Most of these cities/towns are upscale, west valley communities.  But so are Saratoga, Cupertino, and Monte Sereno.

Gilroy was especially hard-hit with the housing downturn so perhaps in that case, it’s just coming back into more of a balance. (Then again, so was Morgan Hill and it’s still off by 12%.)

The LinkedIn IPO and others in the Palo Alto area drove prices up for some parts of the housing market nearby and it’s likely that this explains the positive growth for Palo Alto, Mountain View, and Los Altos Hills.  That said, it would seem that Los Altos, and perhaps even Sunnyvale would have seen stronger numbers on the same account.  Perhaps school scores are the key driver here.

Los Gatos, Saratoga and Monte Sereno often behave somewhat similarly as they are adjacent to one another and often attract similar home buyers who want good schools, a nice downtown area nearby and scenic beauty with the hills.  The annual numbers show Monte Sereno down 6.7%, Saratoga down 2% but Los Gatos up 6.4%.  With Monte Sereno, there are very few sales each month and each year (only about 4,000 residents), so there can be a wider swing without it necessarily being accurate. Saratoga and Los Gatos each have about 30,000 people who call these areas home, though, so the data is much more helpful.  Saratoga and Los Gatos both have multiple school districts, views, homes with better proximity to “downtown” and more variables – I think we’d have to dig a lot deeper to learn why these two neighboring markets are so diverse.  We might also have to look at multiple years of data to see if Saratoga spiked while LG slumped to explain the difference.

Coming in at last place: the Santa Cruz Mountains or Los Gatos Mountains area (zip code 95033), where the median list price of houses sold slipped 17% from the year before.  This beautifully scenic region covers a lot of territory and several quite different neighborhoods, some more convenient and others more remote.  It often takes much longer to sell a home in the mountains than on the valley floor but it can be a great “bang for your buck” for great schools, clean area, less crowding, etc.  The remoteness of some homes, the increased rain and other challenges generally make this part of the valley a more challenging real estate market most of the time, and in a down market that’s even more true.

Palo Alto, Mountain View and Los Altos each have regions which can be tracked in addition to the cities as a whole. If you’d like to see these numbers, please visit http://popehandy.rereport.com and then click on Yearly, then select the city, then the neighborhood and you can see how Baron Park or other areas are faring in particular (also for their monthly or quartly reports).

Areas within San Jose, like PA, MV and LA, can be tracked. Since I am very active in several of them (Almaden Valley, Cambrian Park, Willow Glen, Blossom Valley and others on the west side), I want to share those next.

The median sales price of houses which sold & closed in 2011 in the City of San Jose was down 5.9%, lower than the county as a whole.  Most of San Jose was worse off than the prior year – all except Alviso!

Alviso, which was a separate town until not so long ago, sold with a double digit increase in the median sales price – a whopping 10.6% higher than in 2010.  Affordability and investor activity are most likely the cause – more demand and less inventory than the year before. (I suspect either fewer distressed properties or that they were gobbled up quickly. Knowing would require more research.)

Downtown or central San Jose took a beating with the median sales price down 9.6%.  Why did it fall from grace?  Not everything in this area is affordable – consider that it includes Naglee Park, The Rosegarden, and a few other tony areas. I suspect it’s the number of foreclosures (REOs) and short sales but I don’t have that information at hand.  It would require a much closer look that our brief survey here to uncover what’s happening.  (We know that there are many unsold, new condos in downtown San Jose but those should not be impacting the sales of single family homes.)

In future articles or posts I hope to look at a few of these areas more carefully to see what is causing the great diversity between the areas showing improvement over 2010 such as Alviso, Palo Alto, Gilroy, Los Altos Hills, Los Gatos and Mountain View versus those which are really hurting: downtown San Jose, the Los Gatos Mountains, Evergreen, Morgan Hill, Milpitas.  Very likely it’s a combination of the distressed market activity in some areas, school scores, the pricing tier (i.e., homes between 1 and 2 million near Palo Alto) and more factors.  With real estate, it’s always local – and that’s just the starting point.

Recently I was speaking with a neighbor of mine in Los Gatos who’s a high powered lender with decades of experience all over Santa Clara County.  In the last year or two she’s been doing many more FHA backed loans, rather than conventional ones, as smart home buyers, especially first time home buyers, try to get into a house while both home prices and interest rates are at record lows.  This makes a lot of sense as it can take a long time to save 20% or more and in that time, both interest rates and real estate prices in Silicon Valley could go through the roof.  (If my kids were out of college and working, I’d be encouraging them to buy a home using FHA backed financing too.)

FHA backed mortgages do require a lot more work, though, so I extended my sympathy that she’s having to jump through so many hoops and that they are for much smaller sales prices (many areas of San Jose have dropped 35 – 40% since the market collapse).  Mortgage brokers often make about 1% of the value of the loan as their compensation, so I imagined this great loan officer spending twice as much time with FHA paperwork as on a normal loan, on a smaller priced property, resulting in “half the pay for twice the work”.

Apparently that’s not the case with FHA loans!

“It’s better for me when the buyer uses FHA”, she assured me.  Really?  “Instead of getting 1 point, we are often paid 2.5 points when we close an FHA loan.”   That didn’t seem unfair to me since there’s a lot more paperwork involved.  But consumers probably don’t realize that their banker or mortgage broker will be paid much more if the loan is FHA backed rather than conventional.

If you have saved enough money for a conventional loan product but your lender is pushing FHA, be doubly careful before deciding what to do. There are pros and cons to each loan product you buy (you are “buying” or “paying for” a loan).  Make sure that you aren’t getting FHA financing only because it is more profitable for your lender.